Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 16
Jan 21, 2025 at 5pm UK
Kingdom Arena

Al-Hilal
4 - 1
Al Wahda

Leonardo (7'), Malcom (11', 82'), Al Hamdan (90+1')
Lodi (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Goodwin (89')
Hejji (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Hilal and Al Wahda, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al-Hilal 9-0 Al Fateh
Thursday, January 16 at 3.05pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Wahda 0-3 Al Quadisiya
Friday, January 17 at 3.40pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 88.03%. A draw had a probability of 7.8% and a win for Al Wahda had a probability of 4.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (8.49%) and 3-1 (7.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.21%), while for an Al Wahda win it was 1-2 (1.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Al-HilalDrawAl Wahda
88.03% (1.097 1.1)7.77% (-0.489 -0.49)4.2% (-0.6191 -0.62)
Both teams to score 54.82% (-2.999 -3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
83.34% (-0.68600000000001 -0.69)16.65% (0.674 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
66.83% (-1.045 -1.05)33.16% (1.033 1.03)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.62% (0.01400000000001 0.01)2.38% (-0.025 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
88.73% (0.076999999999998 0.08)11.26% (-0.087 -0.09)
Al Wahda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.15% (-3.088 -3.09)43.84% (3.076 3.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20% (-2.655 -2.66)79.99% (2.645 2.65)
Score Analysis
    Al-Hilal 88.03%
    Al Wahda 4.2%
    Draw 7.77%
Al-HilalDrawAl Wahda
3-0 @ 9.08% (0.622 0.62)
4-0 @ 8.49% (0.601 0.6)
3-1 @ 7.49% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-0 @ 7.29% (0.482 0.48)
4-1 @ 7% (-0.079 -0.08)
5-0 @ 6.35% (0.464 0.46)
2-1 @ 6.01% (-0.098 -0.1)
5-1 @ 5.24% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
6-0 @ 3.96% (0.299 0.3)
1-0 @ 3.9% (0.249 0.25)
6-1 @ 3.26% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.09% (-0.319 -0.32)
4-2 @ 2.89% (-0.29 -0.29)
5-2 @ 2.16% (-0.211 -0.21)
7-0 @ 2.11% (0.165 0.17)
7-1 @ 1.74% (-0.006 -0.01)
6-2 @ 1.35% (-0.128 -0.13)
8-0 @ 0.99% (0.079 0.08)
Other @ 5.65%
Total : 88.03%
1-1 @ 3.21% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-2 @ 2.48% (-0.263 -0.26)
0-0 @ 1.04% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 7.77%
1-2 @ 1.33% (-0.144 -0.14)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 4.2%

How you voted: Al-Hilal vs Al Wahda

Al-Hilal
82.4%
Draw
11.8%
Al Wahda
5.9%
17
Head to Head
May 27, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 34
Al Wahda
1-2
Al-Hilal
Naji (77')
Al-Qarni (82')
Kanoo (19'), Mitrovic (90+2')
Koulibaly (45+1'), Noor (69')
Dec 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Al-Hilal
2-0
Al Wahda
Abdul Hamid (20'), Mitrovic (80')
rhs 2.0


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