Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 17
Jan 26, 2025 at 3.45pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al-Ahli
5 - 0
Al Riyadh

Toney (4', 72' pen.), Al-Johani (60'), Firmino (63'), Mahrez (88')
Majrashi (45+5'), Demiral (49')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Al-Shehri (50')
Coverage of the Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Ahli and Al Riyadh.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Ahli

All competitions
Last Game: Al Ettifaq 1-2 Al-Ahli
Monday, January 20 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League

Al Riyadh

All competitions
Last Game: Al Riyadh 1-0 Al-Taawoun
Tuesday, January 21 at 3.10pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 67.5%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 13.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for an Al Riyadh win it was 0-1 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.

Result
Al-AhliDrawAl Riyadh
67.5% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)18.69% (0.018000000000001 0.02)13.8% (-0.019 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.84% (-0.112 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.38% (-0.124 -0.12)39.62% (0.122 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.03% (-0.129 -0.13)61.96% (0.128 0.13)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.2% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)10.8% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.17% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)34.83% (0.074000000000005 0.07)
Al Riyadh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.24% (-0.105 -0.11)40.76% (0.103 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.65% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)77.34% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Al-Ahli 67.5%
    Al Riyadh 13.8%
    Draw 18.69%
Al-AhliDrawAl Riyadh
2-0 @ 10.9% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 9.8% (0.042 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 8.09% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.5%
4-1 @ 4.04% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.26% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.81% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.8% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 4.26%
Total : 67.5%
1-1 @ 8.79% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.4% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.39% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 18.69%
0-1 @ 3.95% (0.011 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.95% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.77%
2-3 @ 1.31% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.18% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 13.8%

Head to Head
Apr 25, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 29
Al Riyadh
2-1
Al-Ahli
Toure (43' pen.), Al-Harajin (84')
Al-Nowaiqi (47'), N'Dong (89'), Assiri (90+6')
Kessie (45+10')
Demiral (40'), Ibanez (51')
Nov 5, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 12
Al-Ahli
3-0
Al Riyadh
Albirakan (2'), Veiga (26'), Mahrez (52')
rhs 2.0


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