Saudi Pro League
Gameweek
17
-
Ivan Toney
4'
-
Merih Demiral
49'
-
Ali Majrashi
45'+5'
-
Ziyad Al-Johani
60'
-
Roberto Firmino
63'
-
Ivan Toney
72'
-
Riyad Mahrez
88'
-
Yahya Al-Shehri
50'
Al-Ahli vs Al Riyadh - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 67.5%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 13.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for an Al Riyadh win it was 0-1 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.
Result
Al-Ahli
67.5%
▼
(-0.01)
Draw
18.69%
▲
(+0.02)
Al Riyadh
13.8%
▼
(-0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
52.84%
▼
(-0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5
60.38%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 2.5
39.62%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 3.5
38.03%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 3.5
61.96%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 4.5
20.58%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 4.5
79.42%
▲
(+0.10)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5
89.2%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
10.8%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 1.5
65.17%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 1.5
34.83%
▲
(+0.08)
Al Riyadh Goals
Over 0.5
59.24%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 0.5
40.76%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 1.5
22.65%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 1.5
77.34%
▲
(+0.10)
Score analysis
Al-Ahli
67.5%
Draw
18.69%
Al Riyadh
13.8%
Al-Ahli
2-0
@
10.9%
▲
(+0.04)
1-0 @ 9.8% ▲ (+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.79% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 8.09% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 7.26% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 4.5%
4-1 @ 4.04% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.26% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 2% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.26%
Total : 67.5%
1-0 @ 9.8% ▲ (+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.79% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 8.09% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 7.26% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 4.5%
4-1 @ 4.04% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.26% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 2% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.26%
Total : 67.5%
Draw
1-1
@
8.79%
▲
(+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.4% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.39% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 18.69%
0-0 @ 4.4% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.39% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 18.69%
Al Riyadh
0-1
@
3.95%
▲
(+0.02)
1-2 @ 3.95% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.77%
2-3 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 13.8%
1-2 @ 3.95% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.77%
2-3 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 13.8%