Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 17
Jan 26, 2025 at 3.45pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al-Ahli
5 - 0
Al Riyadh

Toney (4', 72' pen.), Al-Johani (60'), Firmino (63'), Mahrez (88')
Majrashi (45+5'), Demiral (49')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Al-Shehri (50')
Coverage of the Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Ahli and Al Riyadh.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Ahli

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Shorta 0-5 Al-Ahli
Monday, December 22 at 6.15pm in AFC Champions League
Next Game: Al Fateh vs. Al-Ahli
Friday, December 26 at 1.05pm in Saudi Pro League

Al Riyadh

All competitions
Last Game: Al Ittihad 2-1 Al Riyadh
Friday, November 21 at 3.15pm in Saudi Pro League
Next Game: Al Riyadh vs. Al Ettifaq
Thursday, December 25 at 5.30pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 67.5%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 13.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for an Al Riyadh win it was 0-1 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.

Result
Al-AhliDrawAl Riyadh
67.5% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)18.69% (0.018000000000001 0.02)13.8% (-0.019 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.84% (-0.112 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.38% (-0.124 -0.12)39.62% (0.122 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.03% (-0.129 -0.13)61.96% (0.128 0.13)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.2% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)10.8% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.17% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)34.83% (0.074000000000005 0.07)
Al Riyadh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.24% (-0.105 -0.11)40.76% (0.103 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.65% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)77.34% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Al-Ahli 67.5%
    Al Riyadh 13.8%
    Draw 18.69%
Al-AhliDrawAl Riyadh
2-0 @ 10.9% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 9.8% (0.042 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 8.09% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.5%
4-1 @ 4.04% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.26% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.81% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.8% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 4.26%
Total : 67.5%
1-1 @ 8.79% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.4% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.39% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 18.69%
0-1 @ 3.95% (0.011 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.95% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.77%
2-3 @ 1.31% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.18% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 13.8%

Head to Head
Apr 25, 2024 7pm
gameweek 29
Al Riyadh
2-1
Al-Ahli
Toure (43' pen.), Al-Harajin (84')
Al-Nowaiqi (47'), N'Dong (89'), Assiri (90+6')
Kessie (45+10')
Demiral (40'), Ibanez (51')
Nov 5, 2023 6pm
gameweek 12
Al-Ahli
3-0
Al Riyadh
Albirakan (2'), Veiga (26'), Mahrez (52')
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!