Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 21
Feb 22, 2025 at 6.15pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al Ittihad
4 - 1
Al-Hilal

Kadesh (29'), Bergwijn (45', 51'), Benzema (86')
Bergwijn (36'), Al Mousa (63'), Kadesh (69')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Leonardo (23')
Cancelo (78'), Al Hamdan (90+2'), Leonardo (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Ittihad and Al-Hilal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Wahda 1-4 Al Ittihad
Saturday, February 15 at 5.30pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Hilal 1-1 Al Riyadh
Friday, February 14 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 45.02%. A win for Al Ittihad had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.91%) and 0-2 (5.55%). The likeliest Al Ittihad win was 2-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Al IttihadDrawAl-Hilal
32.79% (-0.865 -0.87)22.19% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)45.02% (0.877 0.88)
Both teams to score 67.28% (-0.318 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.15% (-0.27300000000001 -0.27)32.84% (0.274 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.45% (-0.315 -0.32)54.54% (0.316 0.32)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.42% (-0.57299999999999 -0.57)20.58% (0.575 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.89% (-0.915 -0.91)53.11% (0.916 0.92)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.71% (0.20999999999999 0.21)15.29% (-0.21 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56% (0.394 0.39)44% (-0.393 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Al Ittihad 32.79%
    Al-Hilal 45.02%
    Draw 22.19%
Al IttihadDrawAl-Hilal
2-1 @ 7.38% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-0 @ 4.97% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.93% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.89% (-0.124 -0.12)
3-2 @ 3.65% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-0 @ 2.07% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.54% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-3 @ 0.9% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 3%
Total : 32.79%
1-1 @ 9.34% (0.039 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.93% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.15% (0.045 0.04)
3-3 @ 2.29% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 22.19%
1-2 @ 8.77% (0.1 0.1)
0-1 @ 5.91% (0.128 0.13)
0-2 @ 5.55% (0.16 0.16)
1-3 @ 5.49% (0.103 0.1)
2-3 @ 4.34% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-3 @ 3.47% (0.124 0.12)
1-4 @ 2.58% (0.067 0.07)
2-4 @ 2.04% (0.018 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.63% (0.07 0.07)
3-4 @ 1.07% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-5 @ 0.97% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 45.02%

How you voted: Al Ittihad vs Al-Hilal

Al Ittihad
47.1%
Draw
29.4%
Al-Hilal
23.5%
17
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 4
Al-Hilal
3-1
Al Ittihad
Mitrovic (3', 14' pen.), Al-Dawsari (37')
Malcom (45+1')
Benzema (86')
Kante (11'), Pereira (17')
Mar 12, 2024 7pm
Quarter-Finals 2nd Leg
Al Ittihad
0-2
Al-Hilal

Felipe (10'), Al-Amri (24'), Al-Ghamdi (35'), Al-Farhan (55'), Al-Ghamdi (85'), Hegazy (90+1')
Hamdallah (90+1')
Al-Shahrani (61'), Malcom (90+5')
Al-Faraj (37'), Milinkovic-Savic (68'), Albulayhi (90+1')
Mar 5, 2024 6pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Al-Hilal
2-0
Al Ittihad
Mitrovic (40' pen.), Al-Dawsari (42')
Milinkovic-Savic (79'), Koulibaly (81')

Kante (66')
Mar 1, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 22
Al-Hilal
3-1
Al Ittihad
Al-Shehri (39'), Malcom (59'), Abdul Hamid (67')
Al-Shehri (50'), Al-Faraj (77')
Kante (12')
Fabinho (35'), Al-Sahafi (47'), Hegazy (50')
Sep 1, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 5
Al Ittihad
3-4
Al-Hilal
Romarinho (16'), Benzema (38'), Hamdallah (45+8')
Hawsawi (41'), Bamsaud (63'), Al-Amri (90+12')
Mitrovic (20', 60', 65'), Al-Dawsari (71')
Albulayhi (88')
rhs 2.0


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