Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 20
Feb 15, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
King Abdul Aziz Stadium

Al Wahda
1 - 4
Al Ittihad

El Yamiq (42')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Al-Shanqeeti (35'), Benzema (45'), Bergwijn (60'), Aouar (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Wahda and Al Ittihad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Wahda

All competitions
Last Game: Al Orubah 4-2 Al Wahda
Friday, February 7 at 1.05pm in Saudi Pro League

Al Ittihad

All competitions
Last Game: Al-Taawoun 1-2 Al Ittihad
Thursday, February 6 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 63.49%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Al Wahda had a probability of 16.64%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.89%) and 0-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for an Al Wahda win it was 2-1 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.

Result
Al WahdaDrawAl Ittihad
16.64% (-0.11 -0.11)19.86% (-0.055 -0.05)63.49% (0.163 0.16)
Both teams to score 55.85% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.86% (0.056999999999995 0.06)39.13% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.53% (0.061 0.06)61.46% (-0.064 -0.06)
Al Wahda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.26% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)36.73% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.47% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)73.52% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.28% (0.061999999999998 0.06)11.71% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.16% (0.132 0.13)36.83% (-0.134 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Al Wahda 16.64%
    Al Ittihad 63.49%
    Draw 19.86%
Al WahdaDrawAl Ittihad
2-1 @ 4.63% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-0 @ 4.31% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 2.16% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.66% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.55% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 16.64%
1-1 @ 9.24% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.3% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 19.86%
1-2 @ 9.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 9.89% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 9.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 7.08% (0.015 0.01)
0-3 @ 7.07% (0.032 0.03)
1-4 @ 3.8% (0.018 0.02)
0-4 @ 3.79% (0.027 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.55% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.9% (0.004 0)
1-5 @ 1.63% (0.011 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.63% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 63.49%

How you voted: Al Wahda vs Al Ittihad

Al Wahda
6.3%
Draw
6.3%
Al Ittihad
87.5%
16
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 3
Al Ittihad
7-1
Al Wahda
Benzema (2', 47', 89'), Aouar (13'), Fabinho (45+4'), Al-Sagour (55'), Al-Shehri (87')
Kante (30')
Amyn (31')
Cretu (27')
> Preview
Feb 26, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 21
Al Ittihad
2-1
Al Wahda
Hamdallah (84' pen., 90+4')
Hamdallah (90+6')
Al Mousa (90')
Ighalo (35')
Al Bukhari (37'), Makki (45+10'), Noor (58'), El Yamiq (82')
Donis (38')
> Preview
Aug 28, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 4
Al Wahda
0-3
Al Ittihad

Noor (45+5'), De Moraes (45+6')
Romarinho (63'), Jota (67'), Coronado (73')
Hamdallah (61')
> Preview