Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Wahda win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Al Orubah had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Wahda win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Al Orubah win was 1-0 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.