Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 74.85%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Al Orubah had a probability of 8.51%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.72%) and 0-3 (10.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.83%), while for an Al Orubah win it was 1-0 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Al-Ahli in this match.