Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 49.42%. A win for Al-Taawoun had a probability of 26.56% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.56%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Al-Taawoun win was 1-0 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.