Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 55.16%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Al Kholood had a probability of 21.76%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for an Al Kholood win it was 0-1 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.