Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 55.16%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Al Kholood had a probability of 21.76%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for an Al Kholood win it was 0-1 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.

Result
Al Ittihad	Draw	Al Kholood
55.16% ( -0)	23.08% ( 0.16)	21.76% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 54.09% (

-0.75)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.14% (

-0.88)

45.87% (

0.89)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.82% (

-0.85)

68.18% (

0.85)

Al Ittihad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.51% (

-0.32)

16.49% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.78% (

-0.57)

46.22% (

0.57)

Al Kholood Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.77% (

-0.65)

35.23% (

0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.02% (

-0.68)

71.98% (

0.68)

Score Analysis

Al Ittihad 55.16%

Al Kholood 21.76%

Draw 23.07%

Al Ittihad	Draw	Al Kholood
1-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 55.16%	1-1 @ 10.92% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.07%	0-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.97% Total : 21.76%