Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 81.85%. A draw had a probability of 10.8% and a win for Al Kholood had a probability of 7.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 3-1 with a probability of 8.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (7.84%) and 2-1 (7.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.16%), while for an Al Kholood win it was 1-2 (2.13%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Al-Hilal	Draw	Al Kholood
81.85% ( -0.28)	10.75% ( 0.25)	7.4% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 61.99% (

-1.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

81.82% (

-1.34)

18.18% (

1.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

64.55% (

-2.01)

35.45% (

2.01)

Al-Hilal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

96.67% (

-0.26)

3.33% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

85.35% (

-0.91)

14.65% (

0.91)

Al Kholood Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.13% (

-1.27)

35.87% (

1.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.35% (

-1.32)

72.65% (

1.32)

Score Analysis

Al-Hilal 81.85%

Al Kholood 7.4%

Draw 10.75%

Al-Hilal	Draw	Al Kholood
3-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.47) 4-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.15) 5-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.17) 5-0 @ 4.54% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.37) 4-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.17) 6-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.16) 6-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.07) 5-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.17) 6-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.13) 7-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.11) 7-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.06) 4-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.1) Other @ 4.9% Total : 81.85%	1-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.35% Total : 10.75%	1-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.8% Total : 7.4%