Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 81.85%. A draw had a probability of 10.8% and a win for Al Kholood had a probability of 7.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 3-1 with a probability of 8.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (7.84%) and 2-1 (7.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.16%), while for an Al Kholood win it was 1-2 (2.13%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.