Saudi Pro League Gameweek 22
Feb 25, 2025 5.30pm
4
1
HT : 3 0
FT King Abdullah Sports City
  • Ivan Toney 11' goal
  • Mohammed Sulaiman 27' goal
  • Gabri Veiga 40' yellowcard
  • Nacho 42' goal
  • Ivan Toney 52' goal
  • Mohammed Sulaiman 58' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gaston Alvarez 9'
  • yellowcard Jehad Abdullatif Ahm 37'
  • goal Julian Quinones 48'
  • yellowcard Nahitan Nandez 50'

Al-Ahli vs Al Quadisiya - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Ahli

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Feb 21, 2025 2.20pm
Damac 0 - 2 Al-Ahli
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Ivan Toney

Al Quadisiya

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Feb 21, 2025 3.10pm
Al Quadisiya 2 - 0 Al Okhdood
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Julian Quinones

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Al Quadisiya had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Al Quadisiya win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.

Result

Al-Ahli 40.06% (-0.12)
Draw 24.67% (-0.03)
Al Quadisiya 35.27% (+0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.78% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.74% (+0.14)
Under 2.5 44.26% (-0.14)
Over 3.5 33.37% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 66.63% (-0.13)
Over 4.5 17.06% (+0.10)
Under 4.5 82.94% (-0.10)

Al-Ahli Goals

Over 0.5 77.93% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 22.07%
Over 1.5 44.59% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 55.41% (-0.01)

Al Quadisiya Goals

Over 0.5 75.43% (+0.14)
Under 0.5 24.57% (-0.14)
Over 1.5 40.94% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 59.06% (-0.20)

Score analysis

Al-Ahli 40.06%
Draw 24.67%
Al Quadisiya 35.27%
Al-Ahli
2-1 @ 8.69% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 8.19% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 6.19% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.38% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.12% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.07% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.65% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.18% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.16% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 40.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.5% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.1% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.42% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.44% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.67%
Al Quadisiya
1-2 @ 8.07% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 7.61% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.34% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.78% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.85% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.5% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.33% (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1% (-98.10)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 35.27%

Head to Head

Saudi Pro League Gameweek 5
Sep 27, 2024 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium, Ad Dammam
  • Asiri Haitham 39' yellowcard
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 43' goal
  • Ziyad Al-Johani 88' yellowcard
  • Iker Almena 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ziyad Al-Johani 90'+13'