Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Al Quadisiya had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Al Quadisiya win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.

Result
Al-Ahli	Draw	Al Quadisiya
40.06% ( 0.05)	24.67% ( -0.03)	35.27% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 58.78% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.74% (

0.12)

44.26% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.37% (

0.12)

66.63% (

-0.12)

Al-Ahli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.93% (

0.08)

22.07% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.59% (

0.12)

55.41% (

-0.12)

Al Quadisiya Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.43% (

0.04)

24.57% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.94% (

0.06)

59.06% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Al-Ahli 40.06%

Al Quadisiya 35.27%

Draw 24.67%

Al-Ahli	Draw	Al Quadisiya
2-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.19% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.38% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.12% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.43% Total : 40.06%	1-1 @ 11.5% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.67%	1-2 @ 8.07% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.78% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.5% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 35.27%