Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 85.67%. A draw had a probability of 9.7% and a win for Al Fateh had a probability of 4.59%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.13%) and 4-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.57%), while for an Al Fateh win it was 1-2 (1.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.