Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 19
Feb 7, 2025 at 5pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al-Ahli
2 - 0
Al Fateh

Toney (17' pen., 62' pen.)
Yaslam (35'), Mahrez (74'), Al-Majhad (77'), Toney (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Fernandes (65'), Baattia (86'), Alothma (90')
Qasim (14')
Coverage of the Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Ahli and Al Fateh.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Ahli

All competitions
Last Game: Al Orubah 0-2 Al-Ahli
Thursday, January 30 at 2pm in Saudi Pro League

Al Fateh

All competitions
Last Game: Al Fateh 1-1 Al Quadisiya
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 85.67%. A draw had a probability of 9.7% and a win for Al Fateh had a probability of 4.59%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.13%) and 4-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.57%), while for an Al Fateh win it was 1-2 (1.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.

Result
Al-AhliDrawAl Fateh
85.67% (1.289 1.29)9.74% (-0.771 -0.77)4.59% (-0.5169 -0.52)
Both teams to score 45.57% (-0.377 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.06% (1.549 1.55)26.94% (-1.55 -1.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.59% (1.934 1.93)47.41% (-1.936 -1.94)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.71% (0.47799999999999 0.48)4.28% (-0.478 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.22% (1.481 1.48)17.77% (-1.481 -1.48)
Al Fateh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.6% (-0.635 -0.63)52.39% (0.636 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.74% (-0.414 -0.41)86.26% (0.414 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Al-Ahli 85.65%
    Al Fateh 4.59%
    Draw 9.74%
Al-AhliDrawAl Fateh
3-0 @ 11.69% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 11.13% (-0.29 -0.29)
4-0 @ 9.21% (0.388 0.39)
3-1 @ 7.56% (-0.074000000000001 -0.07)
2-1 @ 7.2% (-0.324 -0.32)
1-0 @ 7.07% (-0.433 -0.43)
4-1 @ 5.96% (0.144 0.14)
5-0 @ 5.81% (0.432 0.43)
5-1 @ 3.75% (0.213 0.21)
6-0 @ 3.05% (0.321 0.32)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.071 -0.07)
6-1 @ 1.97% (0.174 0.17)
4-2 @ 1.92% (0.01 0.01)
7-0 @ 1.37% (0.186 0.19)
5-2 @ 1.21% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 4.31%
Total : 85.65%
1-1 @ 4.57% (-0.372 -0.37)
2-2 @ 2.33% (-0.151 -0.15)
0-0 @ 2.24% (-0.22 -0.22)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 9.74%
1-2 @ 1.48% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-1 @ 1.45% (-0.173 -0.17)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 4.59%

How you voted: Al-Ahli vs Al Fateh

Al-Ahli
100%
Draw
0.0%
Al Fateh
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2024 4.45pm
Gameweek 2
Al Fateh
1-0
Al-Ahli
Djaniny (55')
Baattia (26')

Demiral (20'), Majrashi (49')
Mar 2, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 22
Al-Ahli
1-1
Al Fateh
Saint-Maximin (75')
Ibanez (10'), Kessie (63')
Ibanez (14')
Tello (45+8')
Al-Najdi (27'), Baattia (41'), Lajami (90+9')
Baattia (89')
Sep 2, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 5
Al Fateh
5-1
Al-Ahli
Albirakan (21' pen.), Zelarayan (58'), Batna (89' pen., 90+3'), Bendebka (90+14' pen.)
Alfehaid (45+1'), Petros (45+10'), Batna (90+2')
Sadiq Alhassan (6' og.)
Mahrez (45+9'), Demiral (82'), Ibanez (87'), Alnabit (90')
Demiral (90+12')