Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 20
Feb 13, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City
Al-Nassr

Al-Ahli
2 - 3
Al-Nassr

Toney (78'), Alnabit (90+8')
Majrashi (45+4'), Al-Johani (59'), Ibanez (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Duran (32', 88'), Yahya (80')
Duran (88'), Abdulhakim Al Fatil (90+9')
Simakan (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Ahli and Al-Nassr, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Ahli

All competitions
Last Game: Al-Ahli 2-0 Al Fateh
Friday, February 7 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League

Al-Nassr

All competitions
Last Game: Al-Nassr 3-0 Al Fayha
Friday, February 7 at 3.20pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Al-Nassr had a probability of 37.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.01%) and 2-0 (5.54%). The likeliest Al-Nassr win was 1-2 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Al-AhliDrawAl-Nassr
39.09% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)23.78% (0.004999999999999 0)37.13% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 62.3% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.22% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)39.77% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.87% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)62.13% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.41% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)20.59% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.87% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)53.12% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.46% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)21.54% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.39% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)54.61% (0.020999999999994 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Al-Ahli 39.09%
    Al-Nassr 37.13%
    Draw 23.78%
Al-AhliDrawAl-Nassr
2-1 @ 8.5%
1-0 @ 7.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.48% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 3.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.92%
4-1 @ 1.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 39.09%
1-1 @ 10.76% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.43% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.76% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.78%
1-2 @ 8.26%
0-1 @ 6.81% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.23% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 4.23% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 3.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.67% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.62% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.28% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 37.13%

How you voted: Al-Ahli vs Al-Nassr

Al-Ahli
20.5%
Draw
29.5%
Al-Nassr
50.0%
44
Head to Head
Sep 13, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 3
Al-Nassr
1-1
Al-Ahli
Al-Hurayji (90+9' og.)
Kessie (90+11')
Kessie (57')
Al-Johani (28'), Al-Hurayji (83'), Kessie (90+11')
> Preview
Mar 15, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 24
Al-Ahli
0-1
Al-Nassr

Ibanez (12'), Kessie (45+4')
Ronaldo (68' pen.)
Otavio (53'), Laporte (90+10')
> Preview
Sep 22, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 7
Al-Nassr
4-3
Al-Ahli
Ronaldo (4', 52'), Talisca (17', 45+6')
Mane (34'), Talisca (90+6')
Kessie (30'), Mahrez (50' pen.), Albirakan (87')
Majrashi (45'), Yaslam (90+3')
> Preview
Sep 30, 2020 2.40pm
Quarter-Finals
Al-Nassr
2-0
Al-Ahli
Martinez (13'), Asiri (55')
Albirakan (88')

Al-Majhad (6'), Hawsawi (78')
rhs 2.0


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