Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Al-Nassr had a probability of 37.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.01%) and 2-0 (5.54%). The likeliest Al-Nassr win was 1-2 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.