Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Rayyan win with a probability of 49.28%. A win for Al Arabi had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Rayyan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.12%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Al Arabi win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Al-Rayyan in this match.