Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Sadd win with a probability of 51.47%. A win for Al Arabi had a probability of 26.95% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Sadd win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.59%) and 0-1 (6.56%). The likeliest Al Arabi win was 2-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Sadd would win this match.