Qatar Stars League | Gameweek 14
Jan 30, 2025 at 3.45pm UK
Al Thumama Stadium

Al Arabi
1 - 3
Al-Sadd

Alaaeldin (18', 19')
Fathy (45+6')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Mujica (54', 88'), Afif (76' pen.)
Henrique Amorim da Silva (34'), Camara (50'), Salman (56')
Coverage of the Qatar Stars League clash between Al Arabi and Al-Sadd.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Wakrah 4-3 Al Arabi
Friday, January 24 at 3.45pm in Qatar Stars League
Last Game: Al-Sadd 0-1 Qatar SC
Thursday, January 23 at 1.30pm in Qatar Stars League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Sadd win with a probability of 51.47%. A win for Al Arabi had a probability of 26.95% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Sadd win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.59%) and 0-1 (6.56%). The likeliest Al Arabi win was 2-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Sadd would win this match.

Result
Al ArabiDrawAl-Sadd
26.95% (0.409 0.41)21.58% (0.223 0.22)51.47% (-0.629 -0.63)
Both teams to score 65.52% (-0.45699999999999 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.49% (-0.754 -0.75)33.52% (0.757 0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.69% (-0.866 -0.87)55.32% (0.869 0.87)
Al Arabi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.64% (-0.12700000000001 -0.13)24.36% (0.13 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.24% (-0.181 -0.18)58.76% (0.182 0.18)
Al-Sadd Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.62% (-0.455 -0.45)13.38% (0.459 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.72% (-0.92299999999999 -0.92)40.29% (0.926 0.93)
Score Analysis
    Al Arabi 26.95%
    Al-Sadd 51.47%
    Draw 21.58%
Al ArabiDrawAl-Sadd
2-1 @ 6.54% (0.1 0.1)
1-0 @ 4.6% (0.164 0.16)
2-0 @ 3.25% (0.104 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.1% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.08% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.53% (0.044 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.09% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 26.95%
1-1 @ 9.26% (0.175 0.17)
2-2 @ 6.58% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.26% (0.128 0.13)
3-3 @ 2.08% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 21.58%
1-2 @ 9.31% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.59% (0.038 0.04)
0-1 @ 6.56% (0.148 0.15)
1-3 @ 6.24% (-0.094 -0.09)
0-3 @ 4.42% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-3 @ 4.41% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-4 @ 3.14% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-4 @ 2.22% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-4 @ 2.22% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-5 @ 1.26% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-4 @ 1.04% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 51.47%

Head to Head
Aug 22, 2024 6.30pm
Gameweek 3
Al-Sadd
5-0
Al Arabi
Mujica (8' pen., 26', 89'), Afif (19'), Henrique Amorim da Silva (60')
Mashaal (90+1')

Fathy (7'), Junior (48')
Mar 10, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 17
Al Arabi
2-2
Al-Sadd
Rafinha (38'), Al Somah (90+9')
Al-Salati (29'), Mohammed (45+7'), Rafinha (51'), Verratti (90+11')
Afif (18', 20')
Khoder (89')
Dec 17, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 6
Al-Sadd
0-1
Al Arabi

Uribe (45+4'), Al Bayati (70'), Otavio (90+3'), Hazbavi (90+9')
Rafinha (31')
Verratti (34'), Marafee (76'), Kala (90+7')