Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Wakrah win with a probability of 54.72%. A win for Al Arabi had a probability of 23.79% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Wakrah win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.6%) and 1-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Al Arabi win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Wakrah would win this match.