Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Wakrah win with a probability of 45.29%. A win for Al Gharafa had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Wakrah win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.74%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Al Gharafa win was 2-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.