Qatar Stars League | Gameweek 5
Sep 22, 2024 at 6pm UK
Suheim Bin Hamad Stadium

Qatar SC
1 - 3
Al Gharafa

Soria (42')
Soria (15'), Banoun (90+9')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Alganehi (10'), Brahimi (30' pen.), Joselu (72')
Joselu (69')
Coverage of the Qatar Stars League clash between Qatar SC and Al Gharafa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Qatar SC 0-1 Al Ahli
Saturday, September 14 at 4pm in Qatar Stars League
Last Game: Al Gharafa 1-1 Al Shamal
Friday, September 13 at 4pm in Qatar Stars League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Gharafa win with a probability of 54.63%. A win for Qatar SC had a probability of 25% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Gharafa win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.69%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest Qatar SC win was 2-1 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Gharafa would win this match.

Result
Qatar SCDrawAl Gharafa
25% (0.083000000000002 0.08)20.36% (0.009999999999998 0.01)54.63% (-0.1 -0.1)
Both teams to score 68.12% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.68% (0.033999999999992 0.03)29.32% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.63% (0.041000000000004 0.04)50.37% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Qatar SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.58% (0.075999999999993 0.08)23.41% (-0.081 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.59% (0.111 0.11)57.41% (-0.117 -0.12)
Al Gharafa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.94% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)11.05% (0.013 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.6% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)35.39% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Qatar SC 25.01%
    Al Gharafa 54.63%
    Draw 20.36%
Qatar SCDrawAl Gharafa
2-1 @ 6.01% (0.012 0.01)
1-0 @ 3.76%
3-2 @ 3.2% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.91% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.73% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.32% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.06% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 25.01%
1-1 @ 8.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 6.62% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.59% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.35% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 20.36%
1-2 @ 9.11% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.28% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.7% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 4.86% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-3 @ 4.61% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-4 @ 3.68% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 2.68% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 2.54% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.62% (-0.004 -0)
3-4 @ 1.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-5 @ 1.18% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-5 @ 1.12% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 54.63%

Head to Head
Dec 20, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 12
Al Gharafa
2-1
Qatar SC
Al-Muftah (49' og.), Brahimi (90+5' pen.)
Alganehi (90+11')
Malango (6')
Aug 17, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 1
Qatar SC
4-4
Al Gharafa
Tabata (6', 20', 58'), Malango (90+11')
Danzabe Sanda (3'), Peer Baksh (45+1'), Ahmad Al Emadi (70'), Martinez (76'), Banoun (80')
Boli (35'), Alganehi (45+10', 77'), Brahimi (90+7')
Ali Saei (41'), Alganehi (54'), Traore (89')