Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Gharafa win with a probability of 64.97%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Al Shamal had a probability of 16.51%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Gharafa win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.69%) and 1-3 (7.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%), while for an Al Shamal win it was 2-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Al Shamal	Draw	Al Gharafa
16.51% ( -0.15)	18.52% ( -0.02)	64.97% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 60.61% (

-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.13% (

-0.21)

32.87% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.43% (

-0.24)

54.57% (

0.24)

Al Shamal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.01% (

-0.3)

32.99% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.43% (

-0.34)

69.57% (

0.34)

Al Gharafa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.45% (

-0.02)

9.55% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.03% (

-0.04)

31.97% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Al Shamal 16.51%

Al Gharafa 64.97%

Draw 18.52%

Al Shamal	Draw	Al Gharafa
2-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.87% Total : 16.51%	1-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.28% Total : 18.52%	1-2 @ 9.64% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.69% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 7.55% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 6.8% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 4.43% ( -0) 2-3 @ 4.18% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 4% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 2.46% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 2.08% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) 2-5 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.81% Total : 64.97%