Qatar Stars League | Gameweek 21
Apr 24, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Abdullah bin Nasser bin Khalifa Stadium

Al Wakrah
2 - 4
Al Gharafa

Assal (47'), Benyettou (53')
Elkhatib (27'), Gelson (29'), Ali Mukhtar (45+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sassi (22'), Brahimi (59', 67' pen.), Alganehi (73')
Lyanco (36'), Traore (41')
Coverage of the Qatar Stars League clash between Al Wakrah and Al Gharafa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Shamal 0-0 Al Wakrah
Tuesday, April 16 at 4.30pm in Qatar Stars League
Last Game: Al Markhiya 3-2 Al Gharafa
Tuesday, April 16 at 6.30pm in Qatar Stars League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Gharafa win with a probability of 39.69%. A win for Al Wakrah had a probability of 38.48% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Gharafa win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (4.88%) and 0-1 (4.85%). The likeliest Al Wakrah win was 2-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Gharafa would win this match.

Result
Al WakrahDrawAl Gharafa
38.48% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)21.83%39.69% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Both teams to score 70.08% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.25%29.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.11% (0.00099999999999767 0)50.88% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Al Wakrah Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.47% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)16.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.71% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)46.28% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Al Gharafa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.96% (0.0019999999999953 0)16.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.6% (0.0020000000000024 0)45.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Al Wakrah 38.48%
    Al Gharafa 39.69%
    Draw 21.83%
Al WakrahDrawAl Gharafa
2-1 @ 7.86%
1-0 @ 4.77% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.72%
3-2 @ 4.32%
2-0 @ 4.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 2.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.12%
4-2 @ 1.94%
4-3 @ 1.19%
4-0 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 38.48%
1-1 @ 8.73%
2-2 @ 7.19%
0-0 @ 2.65%
3-3 @ 2.63%
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 21.83%
1-2 @ 7.99%
1-3 @ 4.88%
0-1 @ 4.85%
0-2 @ 4.44% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 4.39%
0-3 @ 2.71%
1-4 @ 2.23%
2-4 @ 2.01%
0-4 @ 1.24%
3-4 @ 1.21% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 39.69%

Head to Head
Dec 2, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Al Gharafa
1-1
Al Wakrah
Brahimi (67')
Martins (23'), Sassi (43'), Traore (66')
Gelson (30')
Abdul Maqsoud (22'), Gelson (90+5'), Fadel (90+9')