Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Umm Salal win with a probability of 41.51%. A win for Al Wakrah had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Umm Salal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.67%) and 2-0 (5.08%). The likeliest Al Wakrah win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.