Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Rayyan win with a probability of 58.23%. A win for Al Wakrah had a probability of 21.58% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Rayyan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.48%) and 3-1 (6.99%). The likeliest Al Wakrah win was 1-2 (5.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Rayyan would win this match.