Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Rayyan win with a probability of 57.52%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Umm Salal had a probability of 21.17%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Rayyan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.57%) and 1-0 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Umm Salal win it was 1-2 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.