Qatar Stars League | Gameweek 20
Apr 7, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Grand Hamad Stadium

Al Gharafa
1 - 1
Umm Salal

Sassi (65')
Sano (45+3'), Sassi (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gorre (90+3')
Joao (38'), Al-Zereiqi (54'), Tannane (87')
Coverage of the Qatar Stars League clash between Al Gharafa and Umm Salal.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Gharafa

All competitions
Last Game: Al Arabi 0-1 Al Gharafa
Saturday, March 30 at 6.30pm in Qatar Stars League

Umm Salal

All competitions
Last Game: Umm Salal 1-2 Al Mu'aidar
Friday, March 29 at 6.30pm in Qatar Stars League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Gharafa win with a probability of 47.3%. A win for Umm Salal had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Gharafa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.45%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Umm Salal win was 1-2 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
Al GharafaDrawUmm Salal
47.3% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)22.26% (0.030000000000001 0.03)30.44% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 65.73% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.63% (-0.121 -0.12)34.37% (0.119 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.72% (-0.136 -0.14)56.29% (0.135 0.13)
Al Gharafa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.94% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)15.06% (0.074 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.43% (-0.143 -0.14)43.58% (0.14100000000001 0.14)
Umm Salal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.38% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)22.62% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.76% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)56.24% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Al Gharafa 47.3%
    Umm Salal 30.45%
    Draw 22.26%
Al GharafaDrawUmm Salal
2-1 @ 9.07% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 6.45% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.1% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 5.73% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.26% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.85% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.71% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.01% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.82% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.03% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 47.3%
1-1 @ 9.59% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.74% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 3.41% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 2.11% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 22.26%
1-2 @ 7.12% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.06% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.76% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.53% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 3.34% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.87% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.31% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.24% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 30.45%

Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Umm Salal
1-2
Al Gharafa
Gorre (57')
Carteron (37'), Louadni (90'), Hassunin (90'), Al-Sulaimane (90+1'), Tannane (90+3')
Carteron (0')
Boulaya (40'), Sassi (89')
Surag (36'), Traore (90+4')