Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Arabi win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Al Wakrah had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Arabi win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.6%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Al Wakrah win was 2-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Arabi would win this match.