Qatar Stars League | Gameweek 4
Sep 13, 2024 at 4pm UK
Al Bayt Stadium

Al Gharafa
1 - 1
Al Shamal

Al Naimi (36' og.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Fadlalla (11' og.)
Belhanda (3'), Waad (21'), Bounedjah (86'), Almejaba (86')
Coverage of the Qatar Stars League clash between Al Gharafa and Al Shamal.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Gharafa

All competitions
Last Game: Al Gharafa 2-1 Al-Rayyan
Friday, August 23 at 4.30pm in Qatar Stars League

Al Shamal

All competitions
Qatar Stars League
Last Game: Al Shamal 0-1 Qatar SC
Thursday, August 22 at 6.30pm in Qatar Stars League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Gharafa win with a probability of 43.41%. A win for Al Shamal had a probability of 33.87% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Gharafa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.32%) and 2-0 (5.64%). The likeliest Al Shamal win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Al GharafaDrawAl Shamal
43.41% (-0.012 -0.01)22.72% (0.004999999999999 0)33.87% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Both teams to score 65.64% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.85% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)35.15% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.84% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)57.16% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Al Gharafa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.2% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)16.8% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.24% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)46.77% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Al Shamal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.9% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)21.1% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.07% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)53.93% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Al Gharafa 43.41%
    Al Shamal 33.87%
    Draw 22.72%
Al GharafaDrawAl Shamal
2-1 @ 8.78%
1-0 @ 6.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 5.64% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 5.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 4.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.35% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.33% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.81% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.5% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-3 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 43.41%
1-1 @ 9.84% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 6.83% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 3.55% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 2.11% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 22.72%
1-2 @ 7.65% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 5.52% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.97%
2-3 @ 3.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.54%
2-4 @ 1.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 33.87%

Head to Head
Apr 28, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 22
Al Shamal
1-0
Al Gharafa
Belhanda (45+3')
Gomes (54'), Al Jabri (66')

Alaaeldin (58'), Lyanco (74'), Diaz (90')
Dec 9, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Al Gharafa
1-1
Al Shamal
Boli (43')
Sassi (45+1'), Ahmed (90+1'), Traore (90+4')
Gomes (90+4' pen.)