Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Khor win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Al Gharafa had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Khor win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.54%) and 2-0 (5.53%). The likeliest Al Gharafa win was 1-2 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.