Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Wakrah win with a probability of 51.92%. A win for Al Ahli had a probability of 26.05% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Wakrah win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.39%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Al Ahli win was 2-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 6-3 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.