Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Wakrah win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for Al Shamal had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Wakrah win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.27%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Al Shamal win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.