Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Rayyan win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Al Gharafa had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Rayyan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.93%) and 2-0 (5.46%). The likeliest Al Gharafa win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Al-Rayyan	Draw	Al Gharafa
43.93% ( -3.97)	22.34% ( 0.46)	33.72% ( 3.51)

Both teams to score 67.06% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.72% (

-0.65)

33.28% (

0.64)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.95% (

-0.74)

55.05% (

0.74)

Al-Rayyan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.14% (

-1.65)

15.85% (

1.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.95% (

-3.12)

45.05% (

3.12)

Al Gharafa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.69% (

1.59)

20.31% (

-1.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.32% (

2.48)

52.68% (

-2.48)

Score Analysis

Al-Rayyan 43.94%

Al Gharafa 33.72%

Draw 22.34%

Al-Rayyan	Draw	Al Gharafa
2-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.29) 1-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.46) 3-1 @ 5.34% ( -0.51) 3-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.5) 4-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.39) 4-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.21) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.34) 4-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.21) Other @ 2.97% Total : 43.94%	1-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.47% Total : 22.34%	1-2 @ 7.54% ( 0.53) 0-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.41) 0-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.5) 1-3 @ 4% ( 0.46) 2-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.23) 0-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.36) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.25) 2-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.16) 3-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.13% Total : 33.72%