Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Gharafa win with a probability of 49.42%. A win for Al Khor had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Gharafa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.7%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Al Khor win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Gharafa would win this match.

Result
Al Gharafa	Draw	Al Khor
49.42% ( 0.1)	22.75% ( -0.01)	27.83% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 61.96% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.49% (

-0.02)

38.51% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.2% (

-0.02)

60.8% (

0.01)

Al Gharafa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.15% (

0.02)

15.85% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.95% (

0.05)

45.05% (

-0.06)

Al Khor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.64% (

-0.07)

26.36% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.49% (

-0.1)

61.5% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Al Gharafa 49.42%

Al Khor 27.83%

Draw 22.75%

Al Gharafa	Draw	Al Khor
2-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.87% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.67% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.78% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 3.72% Total : 49.42%	1-1 @ 10.26% 2-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.18% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( -0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.75%	1-2 @ 6.84% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.57% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 27.83%