AFC Champions League
Mar 11, 2025 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT King Abdullah Sports City
  • Riyad Mahrez 77' goal
  • Riyad Mahrez 83' goal
  • Alexsander 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Murad Naji 59'

Al-Ahli vs Al-Rayyan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Ahli

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last game
Mar 4, 2025 6.00pm
Al-Rayyan 1 - 3 Al-Ahli

Al-Rayyan

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last game
Mar 4, 2025 6.00pm
Al-Rayyan 1 - 3 Al-Ahli

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 55.68%. A win for Al-Rayyan had a probability of 23.17% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.59%) and 1-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Al-Rayyan win was 1-2 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.

Result

Al-Ahli 55.68% (+0.31)
Draw 21.15% (-0.11)
Al-Rayyan 23.17% (-0.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.77% (+0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5 64.71% (+0.29)
Under 2.5 35.29% (-0.29)
Over 3.5 42.69% (+0.32)
Under 3.5 57.31% (-0.32)
Over 4.5 24.34% (+0.27)
Under 4.5 75.66% (-0.27)

Al-Ahli Goals

Over 0.5 87.29% (+0.19)
Under 0.5 12.71% (-0.19)
Over 1.5 61.07% (+0.39)
Under 1.5 38.92% (-0.38)

Al-Rayyan Goals

Over 0.5 71.91% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 28.08% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 36.24% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 63.75% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Al-Ahli 55.68%
Draw 21.15%
Al-Rayyan 23.17%
Al-Ahli
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.59% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.36% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 6.63% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 5.22% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 4.21% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 3.42% (+0.05)
4-0 @ 2.69% (+0.04)
4-2 @ 2.17% (+0.03)
5-1 @ 1.41% (+0.03)
5-0 @ 1.11% (+0.03)
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 55.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.35% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 6.12% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.57% (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.78% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 21.15%
Al-Rayyan
1-2 @ 5.94% (-0.05)
0-1 @ 4.53% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 2.88% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.59% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.51% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.22% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 23.17%

Head to Head

AFC Champions League
Mar 4, 2025 6.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Ahmad Bin Ali Stadium
  • Andre Amaro 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Roger Guedes 71' goal
  • Adam Bareiro 90'+10' redcard
  • goal Galeno 30'
  • goal Riyad Mahrez 34'
  • yellowcard Ziyad Al-Johani 71'
  • yellowcard Gabri Veiga 86'
  • goal Firas Albirakan 90'+5'