Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 55.68%. A win for Al-Rayyan had a probability of 23.17% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.59%) and 1-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Al-Rayyan win was 1-2 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.