AFC Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg

Mar 11, 2025 at 12pm UK

Stadium Sultan Ibrahim

Johor Darul
0 - 1
Buriram Utd

(Buriram United win 1-0 on aggregate)

Bergson (1')
Aiman (52'), Obregon (90+9'), Insa (90+6'), Castillejo (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mueanta (58')
Zulj (24'), Boakye (49'), Good (56')

Coverage of the AFC Champions League Round of 16 clash between Johor Darul Ta'zim and Buriram United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Johor Darul Ta'zim

Last Game: Buriram Utd 0-0 Johor Darul
Tuesday, March 4 at 2pm in AFC Champions League

Buriram United

Last Game: Buriram Utd 0-0 Johor Darul
Tuesday, March 4 at 2pm in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Johor Darul Ta'zim win with a probability of 64.38%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Buriram United had a probability of 16.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Johor Darul Ta'zim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.27%) and 1-0 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.69%), while for a Buriram United win it was 1-2 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Johor Darul Ta'zim	Draw	Buriram United
64.38% ( 0.3)	19.1% ( -0.01)	16.52% ( -0.3)

Both teams to score 58.38% (

-0.66)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.27% (

-0.55)

35.73% (

0.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.2% (

-0.61)

57.8% (

0.6)

Johor Darul Ta'zim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.5% (

-0.08)

10.49% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.85% (

-0.18)

34.15% (

0.18)

Buriram United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.22% (

-0.68)

34.77% (

0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.49% (

-0.73)

71.51% (

0.73)

Score Analysis

Johor Darul Ta'zim 64.38%

Buriram United 16.52%

Draw 19.1%

Johor Darul Ta'zim	Draw	Buriram United
2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.97% Total : 64.38%	1-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.22% Total : 19.1%	1-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 3.85% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.6% Total : 16.52%