Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 28
Apr 18, 2025 at 5.20pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al-Ahli
5 - 0
Al Fayha

Ibanez (17', 37'), Toney (45+3', 68' pen.), Mahrez (82')
Girotto (27'), Al-Johani (27'), Albirakan (90+3')
FT(HT: 3-0)

dos Santos da Silva (43'), Al-Baqawi (62')
Mosquera (48')
Coverage of the Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Ahli and Al Fayha.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Ahli

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Raed 0-2 Al-Ahli
Friday, April 11 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League

Al Fayha

All competitions
Last Game: Al Fayha 2-1 Al Quadisiya
Saturday, April 12 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 66.66%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Al Fayha had a probability of 14.52%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 1-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for an Al Fayha win it was 1-2 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.

Result
Al-AhliDrawAl Fayha
66.66% (0.077000000000012 0.08)18.82% (-0.206 -0.21)14.52% (0.127 0.13)
Both teams to score 54.38% (1.097 1.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.43% (1.265 1.27)38.57% (-1.265 -1.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.13% (1.324 1.32)60.87% (-1.325 -1.33)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.28% (0.377 0.38)10.72% (-0.376 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.34% (0.836 0.84)34.66% (-0.837 -0.84)
Al Fayha Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.91% (0.976 0.98)39.09% (-0.978 -0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.19% (0.904 0.9)75.81% (-0.90600000000001 -0.91)
Score Analysis
    Al-Ahli 66.65%
    Al Fayha 14.52%
    Draw 18.82%
Al-AhliDrawAl Fayha
2-0 @ 10.44% (-0.3 -0.3)
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.36% (-0.418 -0.42)
3-0 @ 7.78% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-1 @ 7.31% (0.103 0.1)
4-0 @ 4.34% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.08% (0.12 0.12)
3-2 @ 3.43% (0.138 0.14)
5-0 @ 1.94% (0.036 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.92% (0.105 0.11)
5-1 @ 1.82% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 4.43%
Total : 66.65%
1-1 @ 8.79% (-0.151 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.61% (0.115 0.12)
0-0 @ 4.19% (-0.256 -0.26)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 18.82%
1-2 @ 4.13% (0.039 0.04)
0-1 @ 3.94% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-2 @ 1.85% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.44% (0.073 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.29% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 14.52%

Head to Head
Nov 22, 2024 2.50pm
Gameweek 11
Al Fayha
0-1
Al-Ahli

Sakala (65')
Mahrez (21' pen.)
Demiral (52'), Al-Hurayji (54')
May 27, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 34
Al-Ahli
1-0
Al Fayha
Firmino (85')
Alnabit (90+2'), Kessie (90+2')

Haqawi (15'), Al Anzi (81')
> Preview
Dec 14, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 17
Al Fayha
0-4
Al-Ahli

Al-Safari (65'), Sakala (87')
Albirakan (11', 30'), Majrashi (17'), Mahrez (43' pen.)