Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 29
Apr 22, 2025 at 5.20pm UK
King Abdulaziz Sports City Stadium

Al Wahda
2 - 3
Al-Ahli

Al-Hafith (81'), Hejji (90+6')
Hejji (31'), Bacuna (66')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ibanez (6'), Galeno (58'), Mahrez (89')
Coverage of the Saudi Pro League clash between Al Wahda and Al-Ahli.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al-Taawoun 0-2 Al Wahda
Saturday, April 19 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Ahli 5-0 Al Fayha
Friday, April 18 at 5.20pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 77.92%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Al Wahda had a probability of 8.04%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.43%) and 0-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.61%), while for an Al Wahda win it was 1-0 (2.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.

Result
Al WahdaDrawAl-Ahli
8.04% (-0.152 -0.15)14.03% (-0.144 -0.14)77.92% (0.29000000000001 0.29)
Both teams to score 48.7% (-0.195 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.89% (0.14099999999999 0.14)34.1% (-0.145 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.01% (0.16 0.16)55.98% (-0.165 -0.16)
Al Wahda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.39% (-0.263 -0.26)47.6% (0.258 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.06% (-0.195 -0.2)82.94% (0.19 0.19)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.94% (0.086000000000013 0.09)7.06% (-0.091 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.23% (0.23699999999999 0.24)25.77% (-0.241 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Al Wahda 8.04%
    Al-Ahli 77.92%
    Draw 14.03%
Al WahdaDrawAl-Ahli
1-0 @ 2.49% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-1 @ 2.45% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-0 @ 0.93% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 8.04%
1-1 @ 6.61% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-0 @ 3.36% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.25% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 14.03%
0-2 @ 11.8% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-3 @ 10.43% (0.08 0.08)
0-1 @ 8.91% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.76% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-3 @ 7.74% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-4 @ 6.91% (0.082999999999999 0.08)
1-4 @ 5.13% (0.024 0.02)
0-5 @ 3.67% (0.062 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.87% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-5 @ 2.72% (0.026 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.91% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-6 @ 1.62% (0.035 0.04)
1-6 @ 1.2% (0.017 0.02)
2-5 @ 1.01% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 77.92%

Head to Head
Nov 29, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 12
Al-Ahli
1-0
Al Wahda
Mahrez (55')
Majrashi (42'), Kessie (90+9')

Bacuna (57')
Apr 5, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 27
Al Wahda
1-1
Al-Ahli
Noor (48')
Ighalo (37'), Bakshween (46'), El Yamiq (82'), Goodwin (90')
Ibanez (83')
Alnabit (66'), Mendy (90')
Hindi (79')
Oct 21, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 10
Al-Ahli
3-1
Al Wahda
Saint-Maximin (45+3'), Ibanez (68'), Mahrez (84')
Hindi (47')
Hindi (51' og.)
Ighalo (8'), Duarte (35'), Noor (90+6')
Hejji (90+1')
Sep 20, 2020 4pm
Group Stage
Al-Ahli
P-P
Al Wahda
Feb 10, 2020 3.35pm
Group Stage
Al Wahda
1-1
Al-Ahli
Chang-woo (90')
Alkarbi (66')
Asiri (60')
Al Mosailem (90')
rhs 2.0


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