Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 77.92%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Al Wahda had a probability of 8.04%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.43%) and 0-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.61%), while for an Al Wahda win it was 1-0 (2.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.