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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Rochdale |
| 39.44% | 28.22% | 32.34% |
| Both teams to score 46.71% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.6% | 59.4% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.22% | 79.78% |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.65% | 29.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.67% | 65.33% |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.1% | 33.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.43% | 70.57% |
| Score Analysis |
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Rochdale |
| 1-0 @ 12.19% 2-1 @ 8.09% 2-0 @ 7.48% 3-1 @ 3.31% 3-0 @ 3.06% 3-2 @ 1.79% 4-1 @ 1.01% 4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.59% Total : 39.44% | 1-1 @ 13.19% 0-0 @ 9.95% 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.21% | 0-1 @ 10.76% 1-2 @ 7.14% 0-2 @ 5.82% 1-3 @ 2.57% 0-3 @ 2.1% 2-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.37% Total : 32.34% |