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AFC Wimbledon
League One | Gameweek 43
Apr 20, 2021 at 7pm UK
Cherry Red Records Fans' Stadium
Oxford United

AFC Wimbledon
2 - 1
Oxford Utd

Pigott (62' pen.), Woodyard (64')
Pigott (58'), Guinness-Walker (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ruffels (52')
Henry (62')
Coverage of the League One clash between AFC Wimbledon and Oxford United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 48.82%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 25.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.32%) and 1-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 1-0 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawOxford United
25.06%26.12%48.82%
Both teams to score 48.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.99%55.01%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.72%76.27%
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.72%37.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.94%74.06%
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.43%22.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.84%56.16%
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 25.06%
    Oxford United 48.82%
    Draw 26.11%
AFC WimbledonDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 8.3%
2-1 @ 6.1%
2-0 @ 4.1%
3-1 @ 2.01%
3-2 @ 1.49%
3-0 @ 1.35%
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 25.06%
1-1 @ 12.35%
0-0 @ 8.41%
2-2 @ 4.54%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 26.11%
0-1 @ 12.52%
0-2 @ 9.32%
1-2 @ 9.2%
0-3 @ 4.63%
1-3 @ 4.57%
2-3 @ 2.25%
0-4 @ 1.72%
1-4 @ 1.7%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 48.82%