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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 48.82%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 25.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.32%) and 1-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 1-0 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Oxford United |
| 25.06% | 26.12% | 48.82% |
| Both teams to score 48.57% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.99% | 55.01% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.72% | 76.27% |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.72% | 37.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.94% | 74.06% |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.43% | 22.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.84% | 56.16% |
| Score Analysis |
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Oxford United |
| 1-0 @ 8.3% 2-1 @ 6.1% 2-0 @ 4.1% 3-1 @ 2.01% 3-2 @ 1.49% 3-0 @ 1.35% Other @ 1.72% Total : 25.06% | 1-1 @ 12.35% 0-0 @ 8.41% 2-2 @ 4.54% Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.11% | 0-1 @ 12.52% 0-2 @ 9.32% 1-2 @ 9.2% 0-3 @ 4.63% 1-3 @ 4.57% 2-3 @ 2.25% 0-4 @ 1.72% 1-4 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.91% Total : 48.82% |