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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 44.56% | 26.31% | 29.13% |
| Both teams to score 51.03% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.71% | 53.29% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.16% | 74.84% |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.2% | 23.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.03% | 57.97% |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.97% | 33.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.38% | 69.63% |
| Score Analysis |
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.28% 2-1 @ 8.97% 2-0 @ 8.1% 3-1 @ 4.29% 3-0 @ 3.88% 3-2 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.54% 4-0 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.73% Total : 44.55% | 1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 7.86% 2-2 @ 4.97% Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.3% | 0-1 @ 8.71% 1-2 @ 6.92% 0-2 @ 4.82% 1-3 @ 2.56% 2-3 @ 1.83% 0-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.5% Total : 29.13% |