Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Blackpool had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Blackpool win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.