FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 8, 2022 at 12.30pm UK

Victoria Park

Hartlepool
2 - 1
Blackpool

Ferguson (48'), Grey (61')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Anderson (8')
Connolly (27'), Ekpiteta (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Hartlepool United and Blackpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Blackpool had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Blackpool win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.

Result
Hartlepool United	Draw	Blackpool
40.46%	26.6%	32.94%

Both teams to score 51.71%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.86%

53.14%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.28%

74.71%

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.17%

25.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.21%

60.78%

Blackpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.72%

30.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.54%

66.45%

Score Analysis

Hartlepool United 40.45%

Blackpool 32.94%

Draw 26.59%

Hartlepool United	Draw	Blackpool
1-0 @ 10.58% 2-1 @ 8.56% 2-0 @ 7.17% 3-1 @ 3.86% 3-0 @ 3.23% 3-2 @ 2.31% 4-1 @ 1.31% 4-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.33% Total : 40.45%	1-1 @ 12.64% 0-0 @ 7.82% 2-2 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.59%	0-1 @ 9.34% 1-2 @ 7.56% 0-2 @ 5.58% 1-3 @ 3.01% 0-3 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 2.04% Other @ 3.2% Total : 32.94%