League Two

League Two | Gameweek 26

Feb 15, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

St James Park

Exeter
4 - 3
Harrogate

Brown (37' pen.), Grounds (71'), Dieng (81'), Sparkes (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Armstrong (4'), Muldoon (19'), Thomson (64')
Diamond (78'), Armstrong (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Exeter City and Harrogate Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 55.47%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 20.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Harrogate Town
55.47%	23.66%	20.87%

Both teams to score 50.99%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.64%

49.36%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.59%

71.41%

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.36%

17.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.75%

48.25%

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.91%

38.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.15%

74.85%

Score Analysis

Exeter City 55.46%

Harrogate Town 20.87%

Draw 23.66%

Exeter City	Draw	Harrogate Town
1-0 @ 11.65% 2-0 @ 10.11% 2-1 @ 9.76% 3-0 @ 5.85% 3-1 @ 5.64% 3-2 @ 2.72% 4-0 @ 2.54% 4-1 @ 2.45% 4-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.56% Total : 55.46%	1-1 @ 11.25% 0-0 @ 6.72% 2-2 @ 4.71% Other @ 0.98% Total : 23.66%	0-1 @ 6.49% 1-2 @ 5.43% 0-2 @ 3.13% 1-3 @ 1.75% 2-3 @ 1.52% 0-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.55% Total : 20.87%