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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 55.61%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for had a probability of 21.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a win it was 1-0 (6.02%).
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 21.39% | 23% | 55.61% |
| Both teams to score 53.8% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.01% | 45.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.7% | 68.29% |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.34% | 35.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.57% | 72.43% |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.62% | 16.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.99% | 46.01% |
| Score Analysis |
| Carlisle United | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 1-0 @ 6.02% 2-1 @ 5.62% 2-0 @ 3.11% 3-1 @ 1.93% 3-2 @ 1.75% 3-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.9% Total : 21.39% | 1-1 @ 10.89% 0-0 @ 5.84% 2-2 @ 5.08% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23% | 0-1 @ 10.56% 1-2 @ 9.86% 0-2 @ 9.56% 1-3 @ 5.94% 0-3 @ 5.77% 2-3 @ 3.07% 1-4 @ 2.69% 0-4 @ 2.61% 2-4 @ 1.39% 1-5 @ 0.97% 0-5 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.25% Total : 55.6% |