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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 31.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 41.85% | 26.19% | 31.96% |
| Both teams to score 52.71% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.27% | 51.72% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.5% | 73.5% |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.54% | 24.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.1% | 58.9% |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.77% | 30.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.61% | 66.38% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.4% 2-1 @ 8.77% 2-0 @ 7.33% 3-1 @ 4.12% 3-0 @ 3.44% 3-2 @ 2.46% 4-1 @ 1.45% 4-0 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.66% Total : 41.84% | 1-1 @ 12.45% 0-0 @ 7.39% 2-2 @ 5.25% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.18% | 0-1 @ 8.85% 1-2 @ 7.45% 0-2 @ 5.29% 1-3 @ 2.97% 0-3 @ 2.11% 2-3 @ 2.09% Other @ 3.19% Total : 31.96% |