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Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 37
Mar 15, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
County Ground
Cheltenham Town

Swindon
3 - 3
Cheltenham

Wright (45+3'), Tshimanga (67' pen.), Clarke (88')
Clarke (71'), Tshimanga (79')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Thomas (8'), Dieng (48'), Wright (54' og.)
Stubbs (34'), Adedokun (58'), Bradbury (63'), Dieng (79')
Bradbury (66')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Cheltenham Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Doncaster 2-2 Swindon
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-2 Cheltenham
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 51.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 24.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawCheltenham Town
51.32% (-0.354 -0.35)24.35% (0.129 0.13)24.32% (0.225 0.23)
Both teams to score 53.15% (-0.161 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.37% (-0.331 -0.33)48.62% (0.332 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.25% (-0.304 -0.3)70.74% (0.30399999999999 0.3)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.06% (-0.264 -0.26)18.94% (0.265 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.54% (-0.442 -0.44)50.45% (0.443 0.44)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.57% (0.015000000000001 0.02)34.42% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.86% (0.015000000000001 0.02)71.13% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 51.31%
    Cheltenham Town 24.32%
    Draw 24.34%
Swindon TownDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 10.84% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.63% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 9.03% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.34% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 5.01% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.85% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.22% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.08% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 51.31%
1-1 @ 11.56% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.52% (0.089 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.34%
0-1 @ 6.95% (0.097 0.1)
1-2 @ 6.17% (0.037 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.71% (0.053 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.19% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.32% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 24.32%

Head to Head
Oct 12, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 11
Cheltenham
2-3
Swindon
Miller (63'), Archer (78')
Shipley (43'), Miller (59')
Cox (30'), Wright (34'), McGregor (47')
Ofoborh (14'), Kennedy (15'), Cox (45+2'), Longelo-Mbule (85'), Wright (90+5'), Barden (90')
Apr 10, 2020 3pm
Nov 19, 2019 7.45pm
First Round
Swindon
0-1
Cheltenham

Jaiyesimi (71')
Addai (50')
Raglan (38'), Doyle-Hayes (71'), Lloyd (84')
Nov 9, 2019 3pm
First Round
Cheltenham
1-1
Swindon
Addai (93')
Thomas (57'), Boyle (76'), Long (95')
Yates (91')
Hunt (80')
Aug 24, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 5
Cheltenham
2-2
Swindon
Hussey (19'), Varney (41')
Broom (25')
Doyle (6', 33')
Isgrove (19'), Lyden (78')
Doughty (71')