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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 51.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 24.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 51.32% ( | 24.35% ( | 24.32% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.15% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.37% ( | 48.62% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.25% ( | 70.74% ( |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.06% ( | 18.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.54% ( | 50.45% ( |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.57% ( | 34.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.86% ( | 71.13% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Swindon Town | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.84% ( 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 2-0 @ 9.03% ( 3-1 @ 5.34% ( 3-0 @ 5.01% ( 3-2 @ 2.85% ( 4-1 @ 2.22% ( 4-0 @ 2.08% ( 4-2 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 3.15% Total : 51.31% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0-0 @ 6.52% ( 2-2 @ 5.13% ( 3-3 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.34% | 0-1 @ 6.95% ( 1-2 @ 6.17% ( 0-2 @ 3.71% ( 1-3 @ 2.19% ( 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0-3 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 2.16% Total : 24.32% |