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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 49.43%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 25.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 49.43% ( | 24.75% ( | 25.81% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.39% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.97% ( | 49.03% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.89% ( | 71.11% ( |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.14% ( | 19.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.04% ( | 51.96% ( |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.61% ( | 33.38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.99% ( | 70.01% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.71% ( 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 2-0 @ 8.66% ( 3-1 @ 5.12% ( 3-0 @ 4.67% ( 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 4-1 @ 2.07% ( 4-0 @ 1.89% ( 4-2 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 2.86% Total : 49.43% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( 0-0 @ 6.63% ( 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 3-3 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.74% | 0-1 @ 7.27% ( 1-2 @ 6.45% ( 0-2 @ 3.99% ( 1-3 @ 2.36% ( 2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0-3 @ 1.46% ( Other @ 2.38% Total : 25.81% |