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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 48.01%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 26.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 26.44% ( | 25.55% ( | 48.01% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.45% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.16% ( | 51.84% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.4% ( | 73.59% ( |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.63% ( | 34.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.92% ( | 71.08% ( |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.4% ( | 21.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.29% ( | 54.7% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 1-0 @ 7.93% ( 2-1 @ 6.49% ( 2-0 @ 4.23% ( 3-1 @ 2.31% ( 3-2 @ 1.77% ( 3-0 @ 1.51% ( Other @ 2.2% Total : 26.44% | 1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 7.43% ( 2-2 @ 4.97% ( 3-3 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.55% | 0-1 @ 11.37% ( 1-2 @ 9.31% ( 0-2 @ 8.72% ( 1-3 @ 4.76% ( 0-3 @ 4.45% ( 2-3 @ 2.54% ( 1-4 @ 1.82% ( 0-4 @ 1.71% ( 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.35% Total : 48% |