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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Barrow |
| 40.16% ( | 26.27% ( | 33.56% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.91% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.31% ( | 51.68% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.54% ( | 73.46% ( |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.68% ( | 25.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.9% ( | 60.09% ( |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.85% ( | 29.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.91% ( | 65.08% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Swindon Town | Draw | Barrow |
| 1-0 @ 10.13% ( 2-1 @ 8.58% ( 2-0 @ 6.96% ( 3-1 @ 3.93% ( 3-0 @ 3.19% ( 3-2 @ 2.42% ( 4-1 @ 1.35% ( 4-0 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.49% Total : 40.15% | 1-1 @ 12.49% ( 0-0 @ 7.38% ( 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 3-3 @ 1% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 9.1% ( 1-2 @ 7.7% ( 0-2 @ 5.61% ( 1-3 @ 3.17% ( 0-3 @ 2.3% ( 2-3 @ 2.17% ( 1-4 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.54% Total : 33.56% |