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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 51.84%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Barrow had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Barrow win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Salford City | Draw | Barrow |
| 51.84% ( | 24.76% ( | 23.4% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.89% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.88% ( | 51.12% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.03% ( | 72.97% ( |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.3% ( | 19.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.29% ( | 51.7% ( |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.37% ( | 36.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.59% ( | 73.41% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Salford City | Draw | Barrow |
| 1-0 @ 11.72% ( 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 2-0 @ 9.52% ( 3-1 @ 5.18% ( 3-0 @ 5.16% ( 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 4-1 @ 2.1% ( 4-0 @ 2.09% ( 4-2 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.85% Total : 51.84% | 1-1 @ 11.77% 0-0 @ 7.22% ( 2-2 @ 4.8% ( Other @ 0.97% Total : 24.75% | 0-1 @ 7.25% ( 1-2 @ 5.91% ( 0-2 @ 3.64% ( 1-3 @ 1.98% ( 2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0-3 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 1.79% Total : 23.4% |