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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 54.95%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 20.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 54.95% ( | 24.81% | 20.24% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.73% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.45% ( | 54.55% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.1% ( | 75.9% ( |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.19% ( | 19.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.13% | 51.87% ( |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.27% ( | 41.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.8% ( | 78.2% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| MK Dons | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 1-0 @ 13.38% 2-0 @ 10.83% 2-1 @ 9.47% 3-0 @ 5.85% 3-1 @ 5.11% 4-0 @ 2.37% 3-2 @ 2.23% 4-1 @ 2.07% 4-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.74% Total : 54.95% | 1-1 @ 11.69% 0-0 @ 8.26% 2-2 @ 4.14% Other @ 0.71% Total : 24.8% | 0-1 @ 7.22% 1-2 @ 5.11% 0-2 @ 3.16% 1-3 @ 1.49% 2-3 @ 1.21% ( 0-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.13% Total : 20.24% |