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Chesterfield
League Two | Gameweek 24
Jan 1, 2025 at 3pm UK
Technique Stadium
MK Dons

Chesterfield
1 - 2
MK Dons

Oldaker (76')
Dobra (45+2'), Mandeville (51'), Colclough (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Hendry (18'), White (44')
Harrison (14'), Offord (58'), Nemane (75'), Sherring (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's League Two clash between Chesterfield and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 1-1 Crewe
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 44.12%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.35%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
ChesterfieldDrawMK Dons
44.12% (-0.219 -0.22)23.42% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)32.46% (0.286 0.29)
Both teams to score 62.45% (0.361 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.89% (0.421 0.42)39.11% (-0.417 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.56% (0.439 0.44)61.44% (-0.435 -0.44)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.9% (0.080000000000013 0.08)18.1% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.96% (0.134 0.13)49.04% (-0.13 -0.13)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.25% (0.369 0.37)23.75% (-0.365 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.11% (0.528 0.53)57.89% (-0.523 -0.52)
Score Analysis
    Chesterfield 44.12%
    MK Dons 32.46%
    Draw 23.42%
ChesterfieldDrawMK Dons
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.35% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-0 @ 6.28% (-0.092 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5.14% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.7% (0.034 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.58% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.58% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.53% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 44.12%
1-1 @ 10.56% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 6.49% (0.044 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.3% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.77% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.42%
1-2 @ 7.59% (0.033 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.18% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.44% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.64% (0.054 0.05)
2-3 @ 3.11% (0.054 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.13% (0.027 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.31% (0.034 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.12% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 32.46%

How you voted: Chesterfield vs MK Dons

Chesterfield
73.3%
Draw
20.0%
MK Dons
6.7%
15
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
MK Dons
3-0
Chesterfield
Hogan (1'), Gilbey (26', 82')
Wearne (61')

Oldaker (13'), Araujo (31'), Gordon (84')
Oldaker (24')
Jan 2, 2017 3pm
Nov 22, 2016 7.45pm
MK Dons
2-3
Chesterfield
Powell (67'), Colclough (73')
O'Shea (32' pen.), Dennis (77'), Gardner (80')
Evatt (33'), O'Shea (65'), O'Neil (66'), Donohue (87'), Gardner (88')
Mar 3, 2015 7.45pm
MK Dons
1-2
Chesterfield
Baker (28')
Spence (26'), Lewington (63')
Lewington (80')
Roberts (66'), Lavery (90')
Roberts (16'), Morsy (24')
Jan 2, 2015 7.45pm
Second Round
MK Dons
0-1
Chesterfield

Bowditch (48'), Reeves (73'), Carruthers (95')
Roberts (43')
Gnanduillet (53'), Morsy (57'), Roberts (83')