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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 46.98%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 27.97% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bradford City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bradford City.
| Result | ||
| Bradford City | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 46.98% ( | 25.05% ( | 27.97% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.2% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.21% ( | 48.79% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.11% ( | 70.89% ( |
| Bradford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.2% | 20.8% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.54% ( | 53.46% ( |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.44% ( | 31.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.04% ( | 67.96% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bradford City | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 1-0 @ 10.3% ( 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 2-0 @ 8.09% ( 3-1 @ 4.89% ( 3-0 @ 4.24% ( 3-2 @ 2.82% ( 4-1 @ 1.92% 4-0 @ 1.66% ( 4-2 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 2.62% Total : 46.97% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( 0-0 @ 6.57% ( 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 3-3 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.04% | 0-1 @ 7.57% ( 1-2 @ 6.86% ( 0-2 @ 4.37% ( 1-3 @ 2.64% ( 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0-3 @ 1.68% ( Other @ 2.8% Total : 27.97% |