Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 46.98%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 27.97% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bradford City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bradford City.