Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 41.75%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.